Grand Slams
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Tennis; the 4 Grand Slams: US Open |
Roger Federer
Vs
Juan Martin Del Potro
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This match can be watched in 2 different ways. One is from the angle of tennis commentator and other one is from betting point of view by people who are betting in tennis matches often.
Tennis side of view makes Federer big favorite and bookies also looks on that in same way giving opening odds more than 70% chances for Roger. I think considering all facts like recent performances, experience, confidence, way of playing tennis etc. Roger is really big favorite and it is very close to that 70% chances predicted by bookies.
Roger Federer
VS
Juan Martin Del Potro
From betting point of view this is against my style of betting, because odds are very low and Del Potro could be player that have something in his reserve that is maybe still not shown. Not because he was hiding something of his game but because he wasn't yet in similar situation to play grand slam final against best ever player. I remeber that odds for Federer against Roddick in Wibledon final ware lower than this one offered for him against Del Potro, and probably everyone who backed him with suh low odds was loosing nerves in 5 hours dramatic match ending 16:14 in 5th set.
Roger Federer
VS
Juan Martin Del Potro
To make some decent profit with such low odds something that has to be done is to take it with very high stake, and I am not ready for that. Odds of around 3.5 can make same profit with 3.5 times less stake but also higher risk. If I could see JMDP chances to win this match higher than 30% I would consider this odds as value but in this way I agree with bookies prediction, and that should be no value bet for me, and I will just enjoy this match without money on it.